Tether’s USDTUSD dominant position as the largest stablecoin is vulnerable due to its dependence on the American market and pending regulations, JPMorgan JJPM said in a research report Thursday.
Despite Tether not being based in the U.S., regulators are able to exert some control on the stablecoin issuer’s offshore usage through the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), the report said.
The stablecoin’s association with Tornado Cash is one such example, the bank said, noting that OFAC blacklisted the crypto-mixer that ran on the Ethereum network in August 2022, accusing it of facilitating money laundering.
“While direct legal actions against offshore entities and decentralized firms are complex, indirect measures and international cooperation could potentially hinder the usage of tether,” analysts led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wrote.
Forthcoming stablecoin regulation will probably put “indirect pressure on tether as its attractiveness would diminish relative to stablecoins with more transparency and greater compliance with new regulatory KYC/AML standards,” the authors wrote, adding that this issue would also apply to decentralized finance (DeFi), where USDT is used as a source of collateral and liquidity. KYC refers to customer identification and AML to anti-money laundering regulations.
“Stablecoin regulations, in particular, are set to be coordinated globally via the Financial Stability Board (FSB) across the G20, further constraining the usage of unregulated stablecoins such as tether,” the report added.
Tether has come under pressure to be more transparent about how its reserves are invested, and has been working toward publishing real-time data. Still, JPMorgan says the latest disclosures by the stablecoin issuer are not enough to reduce concerns.
The Wall Street giant previously argued that USDT’s dominance was bad for the wider crypto ecosystem, a claim that was rebutted by Tether’s CEO Paolo Ardoino who said in emailed comments that it “seems hypocritical to talk about growing concentration from the biggest bank in the world.”