Wondering if Metaplanet is really worth your attention right now? Let’s dig in to see what the numbers and latest developments suggest about its value.
The stock has been on a wild ride, with a 162% gain over the past year but giving up 26% in the past month. This has made it a hot topic for investors eyeing both momentum and volatility.
Recent headlines have put Metaplanet in the spotlight, especially after the company made headlines by pivoting toward new strategic investments and entering partnerships with blockchain players. This has fueled debate around both its future growth potential and the risks that might be getting repriced in.
When it comes to valuation, Metaplanet scores just 1 out of 6 on our major undervaluation checks. This suggests the stock may be fairly valued or even a little stretched. Next, let’s break down the different ways to look at its value and reveal a new approach for understanding whether opportunities remain.
Metaplanet scores just 1/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates what a business is worth today based on its expected future cash flows, extrapolating these forecasts and discounting them to the present using a required rate of return. For Metaplanet, this approach forecasts how much actual money the company is expected to generate over time and brings those projected future values back to today’s terms in Japanese Yen.
Currently, Metaplanet’s last twelve months of free cash flow sits at approximately ¥1.8 Billion. Looking ahead, Simply Wall St’s analysis uses a two-stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model which includes analyst estimates for the next five years, followed by extrapolated values. The forecast expects annual free cash flows to climb significantly, reaching around ¥19.9 Billion by 2035. It is important to keep in mind that while analyst coverage informs the near-term numbers, further projections become more speculative as they extend past five years.
Based on this modeling, the estimated intrinsic value per share is ¥239. However, comparing it to the current market price reveals that Metaplanet is trading at a premium, with the DCF suggesting the stock is about 73.6% overvalued. In short, the market appears to be pricing in a lot of future growth already.
Result: OVERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Metaplanet may be overvalued by 73.6%. Discover 876 undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities.
3350 Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Metaplanet.
For profitable companies like Metaplanet, the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is a widely used valuation metric because it directly relates a company’s share price to its per-share earnings. This gives investors a sense of how much they are paying for current and future profitability. When a company is actually earning profits, the PE ratio helps gauge expectations around its future growth and competitiveness.
The appropriate PE ratio for a stock can vary depending on growth prospects, risk profile, and market sentiment. Companies with higher expected earnings growth or lower risk typically command higher PE ratios, while those with slower growth or elevated risk often trade at lower multiples.
Currently, Metaplanet’s PE ratio stands at 44.41x. This is significantly above both the Hospitality industry average of 23.24x and the average for direct peers, which is 15.54x. At first glance, this suggests that the market has built in very high expectations for Metaplanet’s future profit growth or is willing to pay a notable premium for some other reason.
However, relying only on industry or peer averages does not always tell the full story. Simply Wall St’s proprietary Fair Ratio model blends factors like Metaplanet’s earnings growth outlook, profit margins, company size, risks, and industry dynamics to calculate a more tailored valuation benchmark. According to this approach, Metaplanet’s Fair Ratio is calculated to be 72.30x, which is much higher than its actual PE multiple.
This signals that, relative to what a rational valuation would suggest when all company-specific growth and risk factors are considered, Metaplanet is actually trading well below its Fair Ratio benchmark.
Result: UNDERVALUED
TSE:3350 PE Ratio as at Nov 2025
PE ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1404 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth.
Earlier we mentioned that there’s an even better way to understand valuation, so let’s introduce you to Narratives. A Narrative is simply your story about a company, the insights and expectations you bring as an investor, paired with actual financial forecasts and an estimate of fair value. Instead of only relying on ratios or historical data, Narratives link your unique perspective on Metaplanet’s strategy and future performance directly to forecasts of revenue, earnings, and margins, resulting in a personalized fair value.
On Simply Wall St, Narratives are available as an easy-to-use tool within the Community page, trusted by millions of investors worldwide. Narratives make decision-making clearer by letting you compare your Fair Value to the current price, helping you decide when it might be time to buy or sell. Since Narratives update automatically as new news or earnings numbers come in, your valuation stays fresh and relevant.
For example, some investors currently believe Metaplanet’s fair value is at the high end, over ¥300 per share, while others see it closer to ¥120, reflecting different stories behind their assumptions. By building and sharing your own Narrative, you can invest with more context and confidence, anchored by the latest information as it unfolds.
Do you think there’s more to the story for Metaplanet? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
TSE:3350 Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include 3350.T.
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